Insights

Darius Dale recently joined Charles Payne on Fox Business to tackle one of the most pressing macro questions of the moment: Can risk assets achieve escape velocity without quantitative easing? If you missed the segment, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) W-Shaped Market in a U-Shaped Economy

Darius emphasized that the market may be tracing out a W-shaped pattern—meaning investors should expect another leg down before a sustained rally. With the economy facing tough comps, fading fiscal support, and an ongoing tariff shock, consensus GDP and earnings estimates are likely too high and need to be revised lower. Investors should be patient and prepared to deploy capital when the market looks most vulnerable.

Darius Dale recently joined Víctor Hugo Rodríguez on Negocios Televisión to discuss why markets may not have bottomed yet—and what needs to change before risk assets become attractive again. If you missed the appearance, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio.

1) Markets Won’t Bottom Until Three Things Happen

Darius laid out a clear three-point checklist that must be met before investors can confidently reallocate into risk assets:

The Fed must expand its balance sheet (i.e., QE or liquidity support).

Consensus earnings and GDP estimates must be revised lower to reflect recession risks.

Clarity is needed on fiscal…

Darius Dale, 42 Macro Founder and CEO, sat down with legendary macro investor Hugh Hendry to dissect the Eurodollar system, the Yen carry trade, and the potential for a global liquidity squeeze. If you missed the interview, here are three key takeaways that may have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) The Eurodollar System Fuels the Overvaluation of Everything

Hugh argues that global liquidity isn’t controlled by central banks but rather by the Eurodollar system—an unregulated, highly leveraged financial network that drives global credit expansion. For decades, foreign banks have used U.S. Treasuries, JGBs, and European bonds as collateral to create vast amounts of off-balance-sheet credit, inflating asset prices worldwide. However, as cracks emerge…