Insights

On Yahoo! Finance, Darius joined Josh Lipton to explain why rising volatility, Fed independence concerns, and geopolitical stress are reshaping market structure. With a historic degree of crowded bullish positioning, near-term chop remains likely. However, 42 Macro maintains a constructive medium-term backdrop as the economy continues to experience a structural uptrend in productivity growth.

If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) Productivity Is Driving Disinflation

Darius emphasized that inflation should be analyzed through trend impulses, not noisy month-to-month prints. When viewed through three- and six-month annualized rates, core CPI, core goods, core services, and…

Darius Dale recently joined our friend George Gammon on Rebel Capitalist Interviews to discuss the cyclical and structural forces shaping markets into 2026 and beyond. He explained why the current slowdown is merely a transitory period of weakness that sets the stage for a robust and durable recovery, how fiscal dominance is redefining the Fed’s role, and why deregulation remains an under-appreciated upside risk for the economy and asset markets.

If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) The U-Shaped U.S. Economy Is Not An L-Shaped Economy

Darius noted the U-shaped economy slowing down into late 2025, with growth bottoming in Q4, before reaccelerating in 2026. He noted that tariffs,…