Insights

Understand the current market trends with the latest news, strategies, and analysis.
US Markets 2 mins
04/25/2024

Risk On Or Risk Off?

Darius joined our friend Anthony Crudele last week to discuss the current market regime, the 42 Macro Positioning Model, inflation, and more.

If you missed the interview, here are the three most important takeaways from the conversation that have significant implications for your portfolio: 

1. Our Positioning Model Nailed The Correction In Risk Assets 

Heading into this month, our 42 Macro Positioning Model, which tracks several short-term tactical indicators, including the AAII Bulls-Bears Spread, S&P 500 Implied Correlations, and AAII Cash Allocation, flagged an…

Global Markets 3 mins
04/23/2024

Is There Further Upside Risk In Asset Markets?

Darius joined David Hunter last week on our Pro to Pro Live to discuss the 42 Macro Positioning Model, the outlook for asset markets, our “Green Shoots Globally” theme, and more.

US Markets 1 min
04/22/2024

Managing Risk in a Risk-On Environment

Darius joined Caroline Woods on Schwab Network last week to discuss the current risk-on Market Regime and its implications for asset markets. See the most important takeaway from the interview.

US Economy 3 mins
04/12/2024

What Does “Sticky Inflation” Mean For Your Portfolio?

Darius joined Anthony Pompliano this week to discuss inflation, the “No landing” vs. “Soft landing” debate, the Fed, and more.

If you missed the interview, here are the three most important takeaways from the conversation that have significant implications for your portfolio: 

1. The “No Landing” Scenario Is The Highest Probability Outcome Over The Next 12 Months.

The “Soft landing” vs. “Hard landing” vs. “No landing” debate continues. We define a “Soft landing” as a period of trend or below-trend GDP growth, facilitating a gradual return of inflation to trend over time. Conversely,…

Global Markets 2 mins
04/08/2024

What Will Push Powell to Cut?

The resiliency of the US economy persists – what will cause the Fed to cut rates?

US Economy 3 mins
03/22/2024

The Fed Pivots From Soft Landing To No Landing… And Got Incrementally Dovish

Darius joined Maggie Lake on Real Vision’s Daily Briefing this week to discuss the implications of the recent FOMC meeting, fiscal policy, AI, and more.

If you missed the interview, here are the three most important takeaways from the conversation that have significant implications for your portfolio: 

1. The Federal Reserve Still Anticipates Three Rate Cuts in 2024

In this week’s meeting, the FOMC released its March Summary of Economic Projections. 

In their projections, the FOMC:

Increased the 2024 Real…

Global Markets 2 mins
03/19/2024

A Glimpse Into Bitcoin

A deep dive into the outlook for Bitcoin, how it fits into the 42 Macro KISS Portfolio Construction Process, ETF flows, and more.

US Economy 2 mins
03/08/2024

Will Rate Cuts Come in 2024?

A dive into the tug-of-war that has emerged between the no-landing and soft-landing scenarios, productivity growth, and Immaculate Disinflation.

Global Markets 3 mins
03/04/2024

Is Bitcoin Going to $250k?

The 42 Macro Weather Model is currently generating a bullish outlook for Stocks, Bonds, and Bitcoin. How long is that bullish outlook likely to persist?

US Economy 3 mins
03/01/2024

Will The US Economy Enter A Recession?

A soft landing remains the modal outcome for asset markets. However, upside surprises in nominal real economic growth may change that. What will that mean for your portoflio?