Insights

On Yahoo! Finance, Darius joined Josh Lipton to explain why rising volatility, Fed independence concerns, and geopolitical stress are reshaping market structure. With a historic degree of crowded bullish positioning, near-term chop remains likely. However, 42 Macro maintains a constructive medium-term backdrop as the economy continues to experience a structural uptrend in productivity growth.

If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) Productivity Is Driving Disinflation

Darius emphasized that inflation should be analyzed through trend impulses, not noisy month-to-month prints. When viewed through three- and six-month annualized rates, core CPI, core goods, core services, and…

Darius Dale joined Andrew Bell on BNN Bloomberg to discuss 42 Macro’s 100th-percentile-bullish Paradigm C theme and the US government shutdown. He explained why a U.S. government shutdown would likely be a non-event for markets, how the U-shaped U.S. economy remains on track for a likely robust recovery in 2026, and why a weaker dollar could unleash a powerful tailwind for risk assets.

If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) Government Shutdown Fears are Misplaced

History has shown that shutdown fears are misplaced.  Darius points out that the longest shutdown in U.S. history (spanning from December 2018 – January 2019) saw the S&P…