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Wednesday January 29, 2025
Macro Market Analysis: Earnings, AI, and Portfolio Strategy
In this episode, the discussion opens with an analysis of whether Magnificent Seven earnings might disappoint investors, with insights on ASML’s strong Q4 performance and evolving spending strategies influenced by AI breakthroughs such as DeepSeek. The podcast then shifts focus to portfolio strategies surrounding the upcoming FOMC decision, anticipated rate cuts, and transitioning macro regimes—from Reflation to Inflation—with liquidity trends in focus. Quantitative signals, market positioning models, and risk assessments are explored, including potential short-term corrections and a medium-term crash risk. Finally, the episode reviews key risks and opportunities such as sticky inflation, a resilient US economy, fiscal policy uncertainties, and the impact of AI investments, ending with guidance to remain cautiously risk-on while staying vigilant about evolving market dynamics and liquidity.
The Macro Minute Episodes
The Macro Minute
Thursday April 24, 2025
Can risk assets achieve escape velocity without QE?
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday April 23, 2025
Did the Trump Administration Abandon Main Street?
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday April 22, 2025
Macro Analysis: Is It Time to Buy the Dip?
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The Macro Minute
Monday April 21, 2025
Will Trump’s Policy Missteps Spark a Balance of Payments Crisis in the US?
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The Macro Minute
Thursday April 17, 2025
Will the Fed HIKE rates during an economic downturn like an EM central bank?
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday April 16, 2025
Will risk assets retest the lows?
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday April 15, 2025
Is Trump Catalyzing a Golden Age for Non-US Assets and Gold?
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The Macro Minute
Monday April 14, 2025
Is President Trump Losing His Trade War?
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The Macro Minute
Friday April 11, 2025
Is this the beginning of the end of the U.S.’s exorbitant privilege?
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The Macro Minute
Thursday April 10, 2025
Did the bond market break President Trump?
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday April 9, 2025
Is the U.S. Heading into an Emerging Market-Style Crisis?
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday April 8, 2025
Tradeable Low or Market Bottom—Round II?
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The Macro Minute
Thursday April 3, 2025
Technical recession or actual recession?
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday April 2, 2025
Will Liberation Day Make America Wealthy Again at the Expense of Global Wall Street?
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday April 1, 2025
Tradable Low or Durable Bottom? Macro Insights on Recent Market Reversal
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The Macro Minute
Monday March 31, 2025
Will Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ Transform Global Trade Policy?
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The Macro Minute
Friday March 28, 2025
Will tax cuts bail out the slowing U.S. economy?
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The Macro Minute
Thursday March 27, 2025
Revisiting the Trump Put: Macro Implications and Portfolio Strategies
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday March 26, 2025
Navigating a Complex Macroeconomic Landscape
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday March 25, 2025
Macro Market Outlook: Tariffs, Inflation, and Earnings Risks
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The Macro Minute
Monday March 24, 2025
Evaluating the 'Trump Put' and Tariff Strategies in Today's Market
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The Macro Minute
Thursday March 20, 2025
Fed Liquidity, SLR Adjustments, and the QE Debate
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday March 19, 2025
Consensus Offsides: AI Innovations, BOJ Policy, and Fed Strategy
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday March 18, 2025
Is the Rotation into European Assets Durable?
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The Macro Minute
Monday March 17, 2025
Navigating the U.S. Fiscal Adjustment: Short & Shallow or Protracted & Painful?
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The Macro Minute
Friday March 14, 2025
Global Debt Refinancing and Liquidity Dynamics
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The Macro Minute
Thursday March 13, 2025
Underestimated Impact of Fiscal Retrenchment on U.S. Growth
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday March 12, 2025
Trump’s Trade Policies, QE Outlook & Global Debt Risks
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday March 11, 2025
Is U.S. Exceptionalism Dead? Evaluating Macro Trends and Market Strategies
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The Macro Minute
Monday March 10, 2025
Navigating the U.S. Economic Transition: From Paradigm A to Paradigm B
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The Macro Minute
Friday March 7, 2025
Navigating Macro Policy Shifts: Portfolio Strategies in a Deflationary Environment
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The Macro Minute
Thursday March 6, 2025
Navigating Global Macro Trends Amid Stagflation and Deflation Risks
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday March 5, 2025
Trump’s Economic Overhaul: Gold Card Visa & Market Implications
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday March 4, 2025
U.S. Trade Tariffs Escalate: Risks, Strategies & Market Impacts
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The Macro Minute
Monday March 3, 2025
Macro Minute: Trump's Tariff Strategy and Global Financial Risks
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The Macro Minute
Thursday February 27, 2025
Will DOGE Achieve Deficit Reduction? Fiscal Challenges and Investment Strategies
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday February 26, 2025
Macro Market Analysis: NVIDIA Earnings & Economic Trends
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday February 25, 2025
Macro Minute / Leadoff Morning Note
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The Macro Minute
Monday February 24, 2025
Macro & Market Outlook: Reflation, Liquidity, and Risk Assets
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The Macro Minute
Thursday February 20, 2025
US Debt Limit, Asset Markets, and Portfolio Strategy Insights
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday February 19, 2025
Navigating a Reflationary Market: Signal-Based Trading and Portfolio Strategies
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The Macro Minute
Thursday February 13, 2025
U.S. Dollar Under Pressure: Global Risk Assets and Fiscal Challenges
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday February 12, 2025
Macro Outlook: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Market Strategy
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The Macro Minute
Thursday February 6, 2025
US Treasury Financing Policy, Liquidity, and Market Outlook
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday February 5, 2025
Navigating Macro Uncertainty: Balancing Risk-On and Risk-Off Strategies
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The Macro Minute
Tuesday February 4, 2025
Tariffs as a Structural Policy Choice: Reshaping Global Trade
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The Macro Minute
Friday January 31, 2025
U.S. Economic Outlook: Tariffs, Macro Trends & Portfolio Strategies
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The Macro Minute
Thursday January 30, 2025
Navigating AI's Macro Impact: Inflation, Portfolio Strategies, and Global Risks
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The Macro Minute
Wednesday January 29, 2025
Macro Market Analysis: Earnings, AI, and Portfolio Strategy
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