This Is Why Systematic Investors Are Outperforming
Darius Dale recently joined our friends Adam Taggart and Luke Gromen on Thoughtful Money to deliver a high-conviction update on the state of the U.S. economic and policy regimes. He challenged the growth recession consensus, articulated the implications of fiscal dominance, and emphasized the importance of disciplined positioning. Through the lens of 42 Macro’s systematic frameworks—KISS and Dr. Mo—Darius laid out why risk assets remain supported. Bears must use any near-term weakness to recalibrate accordingly.
If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) The U.S. Economy Is Slowing, But Highly Unlikely To Enter Recession
Darius dismantled recession narratives with data-driven conviction. Despite continued pessimism, the macro regime remains risk-on, and market pricing reflects that.
Key Takeaway: The US economy will be fine. Positioning for contraction risks underexposure to structural upside risk amid our Paradigm C theme, which we authored back in April.
2) The Fed’s Reaction Function Will Likely Evolve
The independence of monetary policy is likely to diminish over the long term. “The Fed must become a reactive entity—boxed in by the fiscal dominance regime.” The bar for renewed tightening remains high—supporting a pro-risk asset environment.
Key Takeaway: The Fed will eventually be forced to adapt to fiscal dominance. Policy support is structurally more dovish than consensus appreciates.
3) Narrative Investing Is Dangerous—Process Must Prevail
Successful macro investing demands discipline and repeatability. “At 42 Macro, we rely on repeatable tools to measure and map macro cycles—not subjective narratives.” Using KISS and Dr. Mo, 42 Macro identifies investment opportunities grounded in growth, inflation, and liquidity dynamics—avoiding undue risks in the process.
Key Takeaway: Investors must increasingly reject the use of fundamental research views to risk manage portfolios. The historically wide distribution of probable economic and policy outcomes means regime-aware, systematic frameworks are essential to navigate this Fourth Turning polycrisis.

Final Thought: Navigating What Comes Next
As Darius warns, the speed of change is rapid. This means conviction must be earned through process—not opinion. In a rapidly evolving world, discipline doesn’t just provide conviction—it generates alpha.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
Is Your Portfolio Positioned for the Economy to Run Hot?
Darius Dale joined Maggie Lake Talking Markets with a clear message: markets are undergoing a structural shift—and investors still clinging to recession fears risk ending up on the wrong side of risk. He explained why 42 Macro’s systematic frameworks—Dr. Mo and KISS—continue to flag risk-on signals across global financial markets.
If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) We Are Likely Headed Into An Economic Boom
Darius challenged the recession narrative head-on: “Labor hoarding, real wages going up, household balance sheets still resilient, and the administration is pulling every lever it can to support demand.” Despite incessant “bear porn” from the media and financial pundits, he emphasized this is a market that is correctly pricing pending economic strength, not collapse.
Key Takeaway: The U.S. economy is likely not L-shaped, it’s U-shaped, and investors that are not positioned for this upside risk will continue to underperform.
2) Paradigm C Continues To Dominate
“We authored the Paradigm C theme—and now it’s becoming THE theme across Wall Street.” Darius described a policy regime defined by persistent fiscal and monetary largesse, reshoring, and broad-based deregulation—each representing a tool the administration is using to engineer the economic “golden age” it promised on the campaign trail.
Key Takeaway: Paradigm C features policies already in motion and is not just a framework. Investor positioning must reflect this reality, not resist it.
3) Narrative-Based Investing Is Fragile
“It’s our job as investors to identify at all times where we are in those five cycles—growth, inflation, monetary policy, fiscal policy, and liquidity—and in relation to the sixth cycle that matters, which is positioning.” Darius cautioned against reacting to Powell headlines, tariff scares, or short-term volatility. Discipline, not distraction, wins in this regime.
Key Takeaway: Investors must be systematic, not sentimental, if they want to stay on the right side of macro and market regime shifts.

Final Thought: Tune Out the Noise
“The market is pricing in a boom—and it’s right to,” Darius concluded. With pro-growth policy, sticky inflation, and ample liquidity, risks remain skewed to the upside. 42 Macro helps investors systematically cut through the noise and focus on what drives markets.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
Are Markets Underpricing The Power Of Paradigm C?
Darius Dale joined Erik Townsend on MacroVoices Podcast to lay out why investors must position for a pro-growth fiscal regime that could drive substantial upside in risk assets. He argued that consensus is still underestimating the implications of Paradigm C—a structurally bullish policy pivot focused on “growing our way out” of the U.S.’s slow-motion fiscal crisis. Darius reiterates that 42 Macro’s systematic KISS model portfolio gives investors an edge by signaling when to lean into bull markets—and when to get defensive the crash(es) that will eventually require a shift to Paradigm D— print our way out of historic indebtedness. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:

1) Paradigm C Means Running the Economy Hot
Darius explained that the U.S. has fully entered Paradigm C—a phase of fiscal and monetary largesse designed to outgrow the national debt. This regime is pro-cyclical and supportive of risk assets like stocks and Bitcoin. Stimulative tax cuts, deregulation, reshoring, and a private sector credit cycle are reinforcing this durably positive outlook.
Key Takeaway: US fiscal and monetary policy will become increasingly aligned to stimulate growth at all costs, and investors should be positioned accordingly—especially in assets like stocks, credit, and Bitcoin.
2) Structural Forces Are Breaking the Treasury Bond Market
Darius warned that demand for U.S. Treasuries is eroding while issuance is accelerating. Foreign central banks, once price-insensitive buyers, are being replaced by private investors who demand yield. Japan is normalizing policy, Europe is re-militarizing , and China is decoupling—all shrinking global appetite for U.S. debt. This geopolitical capital call raises the risk of a durable bond market repricing.
Key Takeaway: The geopolitically driven supply-demand imbalance in the Treasury market is set to deteriorate despite Paradigm C—pressuring yields higher and making traditional “safe” assets like bonds structurally dangerous.
3) KISS Demonstrably Outperforms Amid the Chaos of a Fourth Turning
42 Macro’s KISS model helps Main Street investors navigate the volatility and complexity of a Fourth Turning regime. Dale emphasized that markets are moving faster, and market cycles feature more amplitude than in past decades. KISS dynamically manages exposure to stocks, gold, Bitcoin, and cash based on proven quantitative risk management overlays—achieving ~250% upside capture and ~50% downside capture relative to a traditional 60/40 portfolio since January 2018.
Key Takeaway: In a world of widening policy uncertainty and faster, deeper market cycles, KISS provides investors with a simple, systematic, and stress-free solution to remain on the right side of market risk. 42 Macro members agree.

Final Thought: Don’t Fear the Shift—Prepare for It
The coming years won’t reward passive investing or narrative chasing. In a Fourth Turning, policy shifts are bigger, cycles are faster, and volatility is the price of opportunity. Darius made it clear: you don’t need to predict the end of Paradigm C—you simply need a systematic approach that will manage risk effectively when the regime changes. That’s the real edge.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
Is The Next Big Move In Markets Higher Or Lower?
Darius Dale joined Adam Taggart on Thoughtful Money last week to lay out why investor consensus may be under-positioned for substantial upside risk. He argued that Wall Street’s outdated pie chart and target date asset allocation strategies are a liability in today’s increasingly complex macro environment and made the case for why 42 Macro’s KISS—“Keep It Simple & Systematic”—model portfolio helps retail investors manage risk like many of the top hedge funds, which are also clients of 42 Macro. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:
1) Traditional Risk Assets Are the New Safe Havens
Darius emphasized that traditional “safe” assets like U.S. Treasuries and U.S. dollars are increasingly risky in a Fourth Turning polycrisis. With foreign demand for Treasuries declining and U.S. fiscal deficits set to widen under Paradigm C, bonds face structural headwinds. By contrast, stocks, Gold, and Bitcoin—often labeled “risky”—are increasingly the assets best positioned to preserve and grow wealth.
Key Takeaway: The key risk facing investors today is staying anchored to assets that can’t preserve and grow real purchasing power during a Fourth Turning polycrisis.
2) The Growth Surprise Is Still Ahead
Consensus expects stagnation—but Darius sees a policy-fueled “sugar high” driven by retroactive tax cuts, deregulation of the energy, financial services, and tech sectors, and an increasingly asymmetric dovish bias from the Fed. He expects markets to capitulate to stronger growth, dragging earnings and valuations higher into and through 2026.
Key Takeaway: While consensus is still bracing for recession, astute investors like 42 Macro clients have been preparing for a powerful growth-driven re-rating across risk assets for over two months.
3) KISS Outperforms Wall Street’s “Safe” Models—In Both Return And Risk Metrics
Darius walked through the performance stats of KISS, showing how it captures ~250% of upside with just ~50% of downside compared to traditional 60/40 portfolios. From 2018 onward, KISS has delivered ~24% annualized returns vs. ~10% for 60/40, while experiencing less than half the drawdown. By dynamically sizing exposure to stocks, gold, and Bitcoin based on 42 Macro’s proven Market Regime Nowcasting Process and Volatility-Adjusted Momentum Signal (VAMS), KISS helps everyday investors sidestep Wall Street’s volatility drag like the best hedge funds—without paying their exorbitant fees.
Key Takeaway: KISS systematically reduces downside risk while maximizing upside participation—giving retail investors an institutional-grade risk management edge in a volatile world.

Final Thought: The Edge Is Discipline, Not Forecasting
The biggest danger isn’t volatility—it’s relying on gut instinct or outdated pie charts and/or target date asset allocations during a Fourth Turning polycrisis. KISS helps thousands of investors around the world block out the bearish noise to remain fully invested during bull markets and sleep comfortably in cash during bear markets. This is how you retire on time and comfortably.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
Is Your “Safe” Portfolio Actually Built to Fail?
Darius Dale joined Anthony Pompliano on The Pomp Podcast to unpack three major shifts in today’s macro environment. He challenged the idea that bonds and cash are safe, highlighted the decline in foreign demand for U.S. debt, and outlined why the current regime still supports staying engaged in select risk assets. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:
1) Fiscal Recklessness Is Undermining U.S. Stability
Both parties are spending aggressively with no credible plan to rein in deficits. Even cutting all non-defense discretionary spending would only reduce the deficit from 7% to 5% of GDP—before the tax cuts reduce revenues (relative to baseline) further. With mounting debt and no political appetite for austerity, the long-term fiscal trajectory looks increasingly fragile.
Key Takeaway: Washington’s fiscal mismanagement is weakening U.S. credit quality and leaving fewer tools to manage future crises.
2) There Is A Geopolitically Driven Supply-Demand Imbalance In Treasuries
Foreign demand for Treasuries is fading. China, Europe, and Japan are pulling back due to strategic decoupling, re-militarization, and policy normalization, respectively. Meanwhile, assets traditionally considered “risky”—like Bitcoin, gold, and stocks—are outperforming.
Key Takeaway: As markets trudge deeper into this Fourth Turning regime, traditional “risk” assets are actually the safe havens. The real risk lies in holding bonds and cash.
3) Follow the Signals, Not the Headlines
Darius’s message is clear: stay engaged while the market regime supports it. With policymakers boxed into growing or printing their way out of structural imbalances, disciplined exposure to select risk assets is more important than ever. 42 Macro’s KISS framework equips investors to sidestep behavioral traps and compound more effectively over time.
Key Takeaway: Avoid volatility drag and compound returns faster by remaining invested in traditional “risk” assets and only reducing exposure when the market regime tell you to.

Final Thought: The Fourth Turning Is Here
With bonds and the dollar failing to preserve capital, the definition of “safe” has changed. As the U.S. consumes an unsustainable share of global capital and shows little political will for fiscal repair, investors must rethink where real protection lies. The true risk isn’t volatility—it’s being stuck in assets with negative expected returns. As Darius notes, the Fourth Turning is more than a cycle—it’s the new investment reality.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
Printing Toward the Fourth Turning
Darius Dale joined Victor Hugo Rodriguez on Negocios TV to break down the macro forces shaping today’s investment landscape. He reaffirmed our Paradigm C thesis—anchored in pro-growth policy and continued fiscal largesse—and explained why many investors remain underexposed to the assets most likely to benefit. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:
1) Three Key Risks: Growth, Gridlock, and Misunderstood Tariffs
Darius flagged three downside risks in the near term: a policy-induced growth slowdown, legislative gridlock over the expanding reconciliation bill, and fears regarding trade negotiations and tariffs.
Key Takeaway: Each of these negative catalysts is unlikely to be a significant and/or durable headwind for asset markets—especially as Paradigm C continues to play out. We view them as scarecrows to be faded by every investor with a time horizon that extends past this summer.
2) Paradigm C Will Drive Explosive Long-Term Upside in Gold and Bitcoin
Darius reinforced his conviction in Paradigm C—a scenario in which the U.S. attempts to grow its way out of a worsening debt-to-GDP ratio through a combination of fiscal and monetary largesse, deregulation, and reshoring. With U.S. fiscal dominance growing and foreign demand for Treasuries from Europe, Japan, and China declining, the Fed will eventually be forced to fill the gap. This supply-demand imbalance, he argues, is the macro foundation for his bold calls that gold will triple to $10,000 and Bitcoin will appreciate 10x to $1 million over the next ~decade.
Key Takeaway: Investors should treat gold and Bitcoin as long-term core positions to capitalize on the inevitable monetization of U.S. debt amid structural fiscal deterioration and the geopolitically driven supply-demand imbalance in the Treasury bond market.
3) Real Estate Freeze with Rising Prices
Darius warns that tight supply, credit easing, and tariffs on building materials may drive home prices higher even as transaction volumes stay frozen. The result: worsening affordability and a potential political flashpoint in the next few years.
Key Takeaway: Expect home prices to rise again as credit easing revives demand, while policy constraints throttle supply on both the existing and new home fronts.

Final Thought: Positioning for a Macro Regime Built on Growth
Paradigm C continues to unfold, bringing with it both asymmetric upside and structural challenges. Darius urges investors to look beyond short-term noise and position for durable right tail risk for risk assets, especially in stocks, gold, Bitcoin—the three asset classes featured in 42 Macro’s KISS Portfolio.
While political volatility may introduce near-term headwinds, the broader policy regime favors growth and asset reflation. Staying systematic and forward-looking will be essential to capitalizing on this historic shift.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
Is Your Portfolio Properly Positioned For Paradigm C?
Darius Dale joined Michael Kantrowitz on What’s Next For Markets to unpack the stark contrast between institutional macro risk management and social media macro, our Paradigm C investment thesis, and what Paradigm C implies for asset markets amid a generally under-invested buy side. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:
1) From Wall Street to Main Street and Back Again
Darius starts by explaining how his unusually humble beginnings was the primary motivation for starting 42 Macro—whose mission is to democratize top-tier institutional macro risk management for the masses. After years of making wealthy clients wealthier at a major research firm, he set out to build a firm where both institutional and retail investors receive high-quality insights at the same time—all for affordable rates that don’t price Main Street out of the market like Wall Street continues to do.
Key Takeaway: 42 Macro’s mission is grounded in access and transparency—offering systematic risk overlays, deeply researched insights, and quality education equally to the many of the top PMs and CIOs across global Wall Street and everyday retail investors alike.
2) Embracing Systematic Discipline After a Personal Wake-Up Call
A painful squeeze throughout Q4 2022 became a turning point for Darius, and he shifted from discretionary macro trading to fully embracing his firm’s systematic signals (KISS and Dr. Mo). While such a dramatic process pivot would be difficult for any investor’s ego to stomach, it significantly increased the value 42 Macro creates for its clients and cemented Darius’ commitment to humility and listening to the market 100% of the time.
Key Takeaway: Success in macro investing isn’t about being right—it’s about staying on the right side of market risk. Check your ego and legacy research views at the door if you want to accomplish this goal.
3) Paradigm C: Stop Myopically Focusing On Tariffs; The Economy Is Likely To Boom
Darius outlines his thesis that the Trump administration has pivoted away from a disruptive Paradigm B (fiscal austerity and maximalist tariffs that incentivize de-globalization) toward a more Wall Street-palatable Paradigm C—combining fiscal largesse, deregulation, and limited tariffs that incentivize some reshoring. While the media unduly focuses on tariffs, the broader regime is structurally bullish for risk assets—particularly stocks, gold, and Bitcoin—and structurally bearish for bonds and the U.S. dollar.
Key Takeaway: Introduced in mid-to-late April, our Paradigm C thesis represents a durable positive shock to growth, and investors are broadly under-positioned for the associated upside risks.

Final Thought: Paradigm C Is the New Macro Roadmap—And 42 Macro Is Your Compass
Paradigm C isn’t a passing phase—it’s the structural backdrop investors must embrace. Fiscal dominance, deregulation, and supply-side reshoring are here to stay, reshaping asset class performance and capital flows. Success in this new regime isn’t about being right—it’s about managing risk systematically, staying humble, and avoiding bearish confirmation bias.
That’s the mission of 42 Macro: to bring institutional-grade insights and systematic discipline to every investor—retail or professional—so they or their clients can retire on time and comfortably.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
Paradigm C: A Playbook For Risk-On Investing
Darius Dale joined Charles Payne on Fox Business Network to explain why markets are embracing his Paradigm C thesis—which is a pro-growth blend of excessive government spending, tax cuts, deregulation, and strategic reshoring. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:
1) Paradigm C = Paradigm A + Tax Cuts, Deregulation, And Strategic Reshoring
Darius reiterates our economic framework—Paradigms A, B, and C—to help investors understand evolving macro conditions. Paradigm A (Biden-era excessive government spending) produced a K-shaped economy, boosting wealth for upper-income households and businesses while leaving the bottom half behind. Paradigm B, feared by markets, implies painful but potentially equitable restructuring via tariffs and fiscal austerity. Paradigm C, however, is emerging as the likely path forward.
Key Takeaway: Paradigm C builds on Paradigm A’s excessive government spending with added tax cuts, deregulation, and strategic reshoring—boosting Wall Street without demanding the sacrifices required for a more-equitable outcome for Main Street.
2) Paradigm C Is Structurally Bullish For Risk Assets And Structurally Bearish For Defensive Assets
Paradigm C creates a bullish backdrop for risk assets. Investors can expect structural tailwinds for stocks, credit, and crypto—while defensive assets like U.S. Treasuries and the dollar face growing headwinds. Darius notes that Bitcoin is already up 17% month-to-date and up 30% since KISS bought Bitcoin back on April 14—signs that markets are already pricing in this regime shift.
Key Takeaway: An even bigger K-shaped economy means a bigger bull case. Although Paradigm C’s gains are skewed to the top like they were in Paradigm A, risk assets are the beneficiaries of both paradigms.
3) Bond Volatility Is A Feature, Not A Bug, Of Paradigm C
With bond yields rising, military budgets expanding, and deficits ballooning, hiccups in the Treasury market—like the recent sloppy 20-year bond auction—are inevitable. But investors should view these as noise, not signal.
Key Takeaway: Don’t fear higher rates—focus on staying long risk assets. Cross-asset volatility emanating from the bond market represent buying opportunities for risk assets in Paradigm C.

Final Thought: Don’t Fight Paradigm C; Embrace It If You Want To Retire On Time And Comfortably
Paradigm C reflects the political realities of the Fourth Turning: fiscal dominance is here to stay amid demands for populism and increased defense and border spending from Main Street amid demands for debt-financed tax cuts and deregulation from Wall Street. For investors, the message is clear—investors should be generally overweight risk assets and underweight defensive assets until something changes. As Darius put it: “When in doubt, think Paradigm C—and buy the dip.”
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
The New Economic Game: Statecraft, Strategy, and Structural Change
Darius Dale sat down with Michael Every, global strategist at Rabobank, for a detailed conversation about America’s pivot toward neo-mercantilism and the future of economic statecraft. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:
1) Trump Isn’t Bluffing—This Is a Grand Strategy
Every argues that President Trump’s policies aren’t random or chaotic as many investors believe. They reflect a deep-rooted neo-mercantilist ideology: prioritize domestic production, run trade surpluses, and wield economic statecraft as a geopolitical weapon. Every calls it “grand macro strategy”—and it’s already happening.
Key Takeaway: This is a full-spectrum pivot to production, power, and strategic autonomy—not campaign rhetoric.
2) Earnings Will Be the Cost of Redistribution
Forget rate hikes. The new inflation control is margin compression. Industries with pricing power—defense, pharma, education—are already under the knife. If labor’s share of national income rises, capital’s will fall.
Key Takeaway: Every believes investors should prepare for a world of lower corporate margins and structurally rebalanced income shares. Wall Street won’t like it—but Main Street might.
3) Capital Flows Are the Real Warfront
Everyone’s focused on tariffs. But the real action is in the capital account. The U.S. exports financial assets to fund its lifestyle—Treasuries, equities, corporate debt. If we’re shifting to a production-based model with structurally lower margins and rising populism, global investors will think twice.
Key Takeaway: If capital outflows accelerate, expect bond yields to spike and markets to shake.

Final Thought: The Game Has Changed—Act Accordingly
Per Every, what we’re witnessing isn’t political noise—it’s structural. Every urges that Neo-mercantilism, industrial policy, capital controls, statecraft as economic strategy: these aren’t short-term tactics. They mark a fundamental shift in how the U.S. engages with the world and manages its own economy. Whether or not this experiment succeeds, the old playbook of globalization, financialization, and laissez-faire orthodoxy is being replaced.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42
System Change, Bitcoin, And The Future of Money
Darius Dale sat down with Jeff Booth, entrepreneur and author of The Price of Tomorrow, for a deep and urgent conversation on what a genuine system change would look like in today’s rapidly evolving economic and technological landscape. If you missed the discussion, here are three key takeaways that likely have huge implications for your portfolio:
1) The Free Market Is Naturally Deflationary
Booth argues a true free market drives prices lower. Entrepreneurs compete by delivering more value, pushing prices toward the marginal cost of production—often zero with AI and software. But fiat systems, built on credit, can’t survive falling prices. They require inflation to prevent collapse. This core contradiction fuels societal breakdown.
Key Takeaway: The free market drives prices down. Fiat systems must manipulate money to fight this natural trend, sowing the seeds of economic distortion.
2) The Current System Is Unsustainable and Fundamentally Insolvent
Official global debt is $348T—but the real number may exceed $900T when accounting for off-balance sheet liabilities and derivatives. The system only appears functional because we believe governments will keep printing. But history shows this belief ends in control, conflict, and collapse.
Key Takeaway: The fiat system is beyond saving. Without structural change, its collapse is inevitable—potentially catalyzed by geopolitical or financial crises.
3) Bitcoin as a New System Rooted in Truth and Energy
Booth positions Bitcoin as a parallel system—not just a financial asset, but a decentralized, secure, energy-bound protocol for economic coordination. It’s:
- Open and permissionless
- Censorship-resistant
- Secure after 16 years
- Grounded in physical energy
Bitcoin aligns with deflationary truth, not inflationary illusion. It offers a global free market rooted in integrity—not control.
Key Takeaway: Bitcoin represents a fundamental break from the coercion of fiat systems, enabling truth-based, energy-grounded economic coordination at scale.

Final Thought: Build The Future You Want To Live In
Jeff Booth’s core message is simple but radical: system change begins within each of us. While centralized institutions cling to control, coercion, and artificial stability, individuals have the power to opt into a decentralized, deflationary, and hope-driven alternative. Bitcoin isn’t just an investment—it’s an invitation to participate in the first truly global free market, one that honors productivity, truth, and abundance.
If you are not confident your portfolio is positioned correctly for the evolving macro landscape, partner with 42 Macro for data-driven insights and proven risk management overlays—KISS and Dr. Mo—to help you stay on the right side of market risk.
No catch—just real insights to help you stay ahead in the #Team42 community.
Best of luck out there,
— Team 42