Our 3-Step Investment Process

Explore 42 Macro’s market regime-focused approach that empowers investors to make portfolio decisions based on the current economic data.

Determine the Market Regime

We analyze growth and inflation to pinpoint the current market regime—the economic environment shaping market trends. Once identified, you can use our extensive backtests to see which assets perform best in that regime and adjust your portfolio accordingly.

Prepare for Market Shifts with Quantitative Models

After identifying the market regime, we use our advanced quantitative models to analyze economic data each day. These models give you real-time insights into key drivers of the market like momentum and investor positioning, helping you assess whether current trends will hold or reverse.

Integrate Qualitative Research

We use in-depth qualitative research to deepen our understanding of the recommendations from our quantitative models and signals. This research provides insights on macroeconomic themes like growth, inflation, and policy changes, giving you a more complete understanding of the factors driving market trends.

See if 42 Macro is the right fit for you?

If you’re seeking a structured, research-backed approach to market opportunities and risks, 42 Macro’s research offers deep, data-driven macroeconomic insights, tailored for those investors who want to stay ahead of market shifts. 

Sample 42 Macro Research
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Macro Risk Manager
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  • Access to our quantitative models and qualitative research through weekly research reports, video walkthroughs, and our state-of-the-art client log in.

  • Join our community where you can connect with Darius and other like-minded investors to discuss investing, markets, and more.

  • Get real-time access and updates to our easy-to-follow KISS portfolio.

  • Receive trade ideas across five asset classes, all backtested to ensure you’re aligned with the asset’s momentum.

  • Access educational resources to help you better understand macro fundamentals and our data-driven investment process.

  • Enjoy flexible monthly subscriptions with our industry-leading cancellation policy. Unlike other premium research firms, you can cancel anytime. No long-term commitments.

Trusted by Investors

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See how 42 Macro has helped thousands of investors
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Having had many subscriptions over many years, i can vouch that @42macro is the best subscription deal by far and the best macro research and process.

What makes it the best is that @DariusDale42 continues to improve his models and process.

This man´s (@42MacroWeather) macro work is probably the best l´ve seen. Hands down 🫡.

Thanks for sharing 🙏.

Did this talk today with Darius Dale. Many know my disdain for “macro” analysts, but quite frankly this probly the smartest guy lve met on Wall Street.

Very worth checking him out.

Even though I am a trader of both Crypto and Equities I use information from @42Macro and @DariusDale42 to position into the right assets.

Macro and Flows matter.

Can confirm, Darius has been in tune with these markets more than anyone these past few years.

Not even close, really.

Darius, your research, risk management process’, and discipline in your process’ has helped tremendously.

Thank you for helping me navigate these shifting currents my friend.

These are wild times we are living in and your data driven approach & rational / zero-dogma interpretations always make sense. Noticing that your Bitcoin forecast was on point too. Thank you!

This is why I subscribe to @42Macro now; data driven, cut out the noise, utilize a process that works.

My regret is that I didn’t subscribe earlier.

Was just rewatching Powell’s Jackson Hole speech from last year and it made me appreciate even more how you nailed the resilient US economy call. It looks more impressive by the day. This is one of the all-time great macro calls brother.

The Data Behind Our Models

Explore the backtests of our top models and see how our signals consistenly deliver results

Your Momentum Indicator: The VAMS Model

Our Volatility Adjusted Momentum Signal (VAMS) Model tracks momentum across asset classes, helping you spot trends and inflections.

  • Momentum drives prices more than any other force in asset markets.
  • By adjusting for volatility, it often predicts when prices will break out or break down in the medium term.
  • Since January 1998, by staying long only during bullish VAMS conditions, you could have captured 96% of the S&P 500’s cumulative gains and 98% of Bitcoin’s.
  • Throughout the same time period during bearish VAMS conditions, the S&P 500 experienced a cumulative loss of -53%, while Bitcoin saw a cumulative loss of -27%.

Your Macro Compass: The Global Macro Risk Matrix

Our Global Macro Risk Matrix, which breaks down the economy into four distinct regimes based on growth and inflation dynamics, is your essential tool for identifying the market regime. 

  • By identifying the current market regime, you can adjust your portfolio to focus on assets that historically perform well under these conditions.
  • The model analyzes 42 key indicators daily across a dozen asset classes to give you real-time insights into market conditions.
  • Since January 1998, 97% of the S&P 500's total performance occurred during periods when our Market Regime nowcasting process identified asset markets as being in a risk-on condition, while only 3% of its performance came during risk-off periods.
  • Since Bitcoin's inception, 109% of its total performance occurred during periods when our Market Regime nowcasting process identified asset markets as being in a risk-on condition. Conversely, Bitcoin experienced a -9% return during risk-off periods.
Sample 42 Macro Research
Joining 42 Macro is just the beginning of your journey to smarter investing. Here’s what you can look forward to:
Instant Access to Our Research
The moment you sign up, you’ll receive a welcome email with easy-to-follow instructions for accessing our dashboard, community, research, and more.
Seamless Onboarding Experience
Our comprehensive onboarding process, including step-by-step guides and tutorials, will quickly familiarize you with our investment process and features.
Regular, In-Depth Insights
Each week, you’ll receive detailed research reports in your inbox, complete with video walkthroughs to help you understand and apply our analysis to your investment strategy.

Meet Darius Dale

Your Guide to A Better Investing Approach.

  • Graduated from Yale in 2009.
  • Currently advises on over $10 trillion in client assets under management worldwide.
  • Serves over 2,000 clients across 80 countries.
  • Former Managing Director and Partner at a leading Wall Street research firm, where he led the macro team and architected the firm’s economic outlook and investment strategy.
  • Frequent contributor to top financial media outlets, including Bloomberg, CNN Money, Fox Business, Real Vision, and more.
  • Darius is passionate about social service, supporting local and national organizations that support K-12 education, food insecurity, and homelessness.